Establishing Causality Using Longitudinal Hierarchical Linear Modeling: An Illustration Predicting Achievement From Self-Control.

نویسندگان

  • Angela Lee Duckworth
  • Eli Tsukayama
  • Henry May
چکیده

The predictive validity of personality for important life outcomes is well established, but conventional longitudinal analyses cannot rule out the possibility that unmeasured third-variable confounds fully account for the observed relationships. Longitudinal hierarchical linear models (HLM) with time-varying covariates allow each subject to serve as his or her own control, thus eliminating between-individual confounds. HLM also allows the directionality of the causal relationship to be tested by reversing time-lagged predictor and outcome variables. We illustrate these techniques through a series of models that demonstrate that within-individual changes in self-control over time predict subsequent changes in GPA but not vice-versa. The evidence supporting a causal role for self-control was not moderated by IQ, gender, ethnicity, or income. Further analyses rule out one time-varying confound: self-esteem. The analytic approach taken in this study provides the strongest evidence to date for the causal role of self-control in determining achievement.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Structural Equation Modeling of Relationship between Self-Efficacy and Academic Commitment with the Mediating Role of Achievement Motivation Motivation in Medical University Students

Introduction: Academic commitment is an important factor in predicting studentschr('39') continuing education and academic achievement, which can be explained based on the self-regulatory model. Accordingly, this study was conducted to investigate the relationship between self-efficacy and academic commitment with the mediating role of achievement-motivation in students. Methods: The research m...

متن کامل

Comparison of Three Growth Modeling Techniques in the Multilevel Analysis of Longitudinal Academic Achievement Scores: Latent Growth Modeling, Hierarchical Linear Modeling, and Longitudinal Profile Analysis via Multidimensional Scaling

262 1 Longitudinal studies provide important sources of information when investigating how differences in various national and regional school policies, practices and compositional characteristics relate to differences in student achievement over a period of time. Therefore, it is not surprising that the use of growth modeling techniques in educational fields has rapidly increased. Recent years...

متن کامل

Improved Turbine Engine Hierarchical Modeling and Simulation Based on Engine Fuel Control System

Aircraft engines constitute a comp‌lex system, requiring adequate mon-itoring to ensure flight safety and timely maintenance. The best way to achieve this, is modeling the engine. Therefore, in this paper, a suitable mathematical model from engine controller design point of view, for a specific aero turbine engine is proposed by the aid of MATLAB/Simulink software. The model is capable of reduc...

متن کامل

پیش‌بینی پیشرفت تحصیلی دانش‌آموزان دبیرستانی براساس باورهای خود کارآمدی، وضعیت اجتماعی- اقتصادی و رشته تحصیلی

Social-cognitive theories on motivation and academic achievement emphasize the interactive effects of Personal and contextual variables on the students' academic achievement. The main purpose of the present study was to investigate the predictive role of self- efficacy and socio-economic status as two important personal and contextual variables on student's academic achievement. 500 stuents...

متن کامل

Reading achievement and reading self-concept ¬タモ Testing the reciprocal effects model

Although there is a vast amount of research on reading motivation, evidence for bidirectional associations between reading self-concept and reading achievement is still missing, whereas there is compelling empirical evidence that suggests reciprocal effects between academic self-concept and achievement in other domains. This paper aimed to rigorously test reciprocal effects between reading self...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:
  • Social psychological and personality science

دوره 1 4  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2010